Credit value at risk (VaR) is used for measuring and analyzing credit risk of a portfolio. The basic methodology of the Credit VaR employs the credit migration approach spearheaded by RiskMetrics. It assumes that obligor’s credit quality is determined by the obligor’s asset value, which in turn is approximated by its standardized equity return.

Chaos theory is not as complex as it si often made out to be As Robert Juliano observes, the underlying principle is that “within the apparent randomness of chaotic complex systems, there are underlying patterns, interconnectedness, constant feedback loops, repetition, self-similarity, fractals, and self-organization.”

“Chaos has been for…[Read more]